Foreign experience in forecasting the economy's skilled labor needs

In the context of the active development of digital technology, the reorientation of Russian business to work under sanctions, forecasts are the basis for choosing the optimal directions for the development of the economy and the labor market. At the moment there are no unified recommendations in Russia and abroad, in which a priority method of forecasting the needs of the economy in personnel would be singled out.The analyzed foreign models of forecasting demand for personnel have a number of common characteristics. As a rule, the prospective need for personnel is calculated for the medium and long-term periods based on the applied forecasting models (balance, computational models).Based on the comparative analysis of forecasting models, the specifics of the applied forecasting algorithms, comparison of the applied statistical and sociological data are revealed. The article contains an in-depth analysis of the methods of personnel forecasting. Specific conclusions about the application of certain elements of foreign models in the country are drawn. The results of the authors' research can be used by theorists and practitioners in the formation of new approaches to forecasting supply and demand in the Russian labor market.

forecasting models, supply and demand in the labor market, forecasting the need for personnel, foreign experience