Fractal Model of Population Growninig

A N Kudinov; Кудинов Алексей Никифорович; O I Shazina; Сажина Ольга Игоревна; V P Tsvetkov; Цветков Виктор Павлович; I V Tsvetkov; Цветков Илья Викторович

Fractal Model of Population Growninig

Authors: Kudinov AN¹, Shazina OI¹, Tsvetkov VP¹, Tsvetkov IV¹
Affiliations:
1. Tver State University
Issue: No 2.2 (2010)
Pages: 132-138
Section: Articles
URL: https://bakhtiniada.ru/2658-4670/article/view/328885
ID: 328885

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Abstract

In the study there was developed a fractal model of population growth. In the model the average population growth rate in separate segments of the growth curve dynamics is a function of fractal dimension of segments SDS which is deﬁned as a cubic equation. The data analysis has been performing since 1950 up to now. The data marks three periods in 12, 20, and 27 years in duration. The prognostic within our model shows that a population growth trend will cross the line of 7 bln of people in June, 2011; 8 bln of people there will be in 2024, and 8,5 bln - in 2030.

Keywords

fractal analysis, mathematical model, demography, population forecast

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Fractal Model of Population Growninig

Full Text

Abstract

Keywords

About the authors

A N Kudinov

O I Shazina

V P Tsvetkov

I V Tsvetkov

Supplementary files