SIR+A mathematical model for evaluating and predicting 2016–2017 ARVI-influenza incidence by using on the Moscow territory
- 作者: Kontarov N.A.1,2, Arkharova G.V.1, Grishunina Y.B.3, Grishunina S.A.3,4, Yuminova N.V.2
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隶属关系:
- I.M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University
- I.I. Mechnikov Research Institute of Vaccines and Sera
- A.N. Tikhonov Moscow Institute of Electronics and Mathematics, National Research University “Higher School of Economics”
- Lomonosov Moscow State University
- 期: 卷 9, 编号 3-4 (2019)
- 页面: 583-588
- 栏目: SHORT COMMUNICATIONS
- URL: https://bakhtiniada.ru/2220-7619/article/view/118805
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.15789/2220-7619-2019-3-4-583-588
- ID: 118805
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作者简介
N. Kontarov
I.M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University;I.I. Mechnikov Research Institute of Vaccines and Sera
编辑信件的主要联系方式.
Email: kontarov@mail.ru
PhD (Biology), Аssociate Professor, Department of Medical and Biological Physics;
Senior Researcher, Laboratory of Childhood Viral Infections,
105064, Moscow, Small Kazenny Lane, 5a
俄罗斯联邦G. Arkharova
I.M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University
Email: fake@neicon.ru
PhD (Biology), Аssociate Professor, Department of Medical and Biological Physics,
Moscow
俄罗斯联邦Yu. Grishunina
A.N. Tikhonov Moscow Institute of Electronics and Mathematics, National Research University “Higher School of Economics”
Email: fake@neicon.ru
Senior Lecturer, Department of Applied Mathematics,
Moscow
俄罗斯联邦S. Grishunina
A.N. Tikhonov Moscow Institute of Electronics and Mathematics, National Research University “Higher School of Economics”;Lomonosov Moscow State University
Email: fake@neicon.ru
Assistant Professor, Department of Applied Mathematics;
PhD Student, Department of Probability Theory, Faculty of Mechanics and Mathematics,
Moscow
俄罗斯联邦N. Yuminova
I.I. Mechnikov Research Institute of Vaccines and Sera
Email: fake@neicon.ru
PhD, MD (Biology), Professor, Deputy Director for Science, Head of the Laboratory of Childhood Viral Infections,
Moscow
俄罗斯联邦参考
- Бароян О.В., Рвачев Л.А., Иванников Ю.Г. Моделирование и прогнозирование эпидемий гриппа для территории СССР. М.: Медицина, 1977. 546 с.
- Бейли Н. Математика в биологии и медицине. Москва: Мир, 1970. 326 с.
- Economou A., Lopez-Herrero M.J. The deterministic SIS epidemic model in a Markovian random environment. J. Math. Biol., 2016, vol. 73, no. 1, pp. 91–121. doi: 10.1007/s00285-015-0943-7
- Pellis L, House T, Keeling M.J. Exact and approximate moment closures for non-Markovian network epidemics. J. Theor. Biol., 2015, vol. 382, pp. 160–177. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2015.04.039
- Rebuli N.P., Bean N.G., Ross J.V. Hybrid Markov chain models of S-I-R disease dynamics. J. Math. Biol., 2017, vol. 75, no. 3, pp. 521–541. doi: 10.1007/s00285-016-1085-2
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