A Methodology for Mapping Tsunami Hazards and Its Implementation for the Far Eastern Coast of the Russian Federation


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Abstract

Overview maps of tsunami hazards for the Far Eastern coast of the Russian Federation are created. The methodological principles of the PTHA (Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessment) approach are discussed, as are the problems of constructing seismotectonic models of the main tsunamigenic zones, mathematical models and algorithms for calculating probability estimates of tsunami hazards, and some problems of applying the PTHA methods related both to the lack of observation data and the complexity in performing a large volume of numerical scenario simulations. Examples of overview maps of tsunami hazards for various recurrence intervals, constructed using the PTHA methodology and presented using the “WTMap” application, are given.

About the authors

Yu. I. Shokin

Institute of Computational Technologies, Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences

Email: chubarov@ict.nsc.ru
Russian Federation, Novosibirsk, 630090

V. K. Gusiakov

Institute of Computational Mathematics and Mathematical Geophysics, Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences

Email: chubarov@ict.nsc.ru
Russian Federation, Novosibirsk, 630090

V. A. Kikhtenko

Institute of Computational Technologies, Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences

Email: chubarov@ict.nsc.ru
Russian Federation, Novosibirsk, 630090

L. B. Chubarov

Institute of Computational Technologies, Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences

Author for correspondence.
Email: chubarov@ict.nsc.ru
Russian Federation, Novosibirsk, 630090

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