HORIZONS OF ECONOMIC FORECASTING ON THE 90th ANNIVERSARY OF THE BIRTH OF ACADEMICIANS OF THE RAS Yu.V. YAREMENKO AND V.V. IVANTER

The article is dedicated to the memory of two outstanding economists who pioneered the development of long-term scenario forecasts for the socio-economic development of the USSR and Russia and headed the leading scientific institution in this field – academicians of the Russian Academy of Sciences Yu.V. Yaremenko and V.V. Ivanter. In Soviet times, such forecasts, calculated for a 20-year perspective, were prepared within the framework of the Comprehensive Program of Scientific and Technological Progress (CP STP), an important pre-planning document that was supposed to improve the quality of state plans. In 1992–1993, Yu.V. Yaremenko outlined the negative consequences for the Russian economy that would result from the reform methods applied by the country’s authorities at that time. The name of Yu.V. Yaremenko is firmly associated with the creation of the theory of a multilevel economy, with the development of a fundamental system of macroeconomic calculations known as the inter-industry interaction model, and with the Soviet scientific school of long-term inter-industry interaction model. V.V. Ivanter’s scientific interests were mainly related to the problem of ensuring the material and financial balance of the Soviet economy. He became one of the authors of the natural-cost model of the Soviet economy, which was considered classical at that time. Academician Ivanter paid special attention to issues of structural investment policy. One of the most important areas of research at the IEF RAS during V.V. Ivanter’s leadership was the search for new mechanisms for financing the structural restructuring of the economy.