Bayesian prediction of minimum river runoff under nonstationary conditions of future climate change


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The problem of runoff prediction taking into account the possible climate change is considered using the Bayesian approach. The proposed technique is applied to the probabilistic forecasting of minimum runoff variations on the rivers of the Volga River basin.

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M. Bolgov

Water Problems Institute

编辑信件的主要联系方式.
Email: bolgovmv@mail.ru
俄罗斯联邦, ul. Gubkina 3, Moscow, 119333

E. Korobkina

Water Problems Institute

Email: bolgovmv@mail.ru
俄罗斯联邦, ul. Gubkina 3, Moscow, 119333

I. Filippova

Water Problems Institute

Email: bolgovmv@mail.ru
俄罗斯联邦, ul. Gubkina 3, Moscow, 119333

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