Estimation of maximum mass velocities in the focal zones of strong earthquakes based on measured displacements of rock blocks: A case study of Kyrgyzstan


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An important task in seismic hazard assessment is estimation of the intensity and frequency of extremely strong earthquake effects, in particular, peak ground velocities (PGV). Earlier, a method was proposed to evaluate PGV values based on the magnitude of displacements of rock blocks (Rodkin et al., 2012). In this study, this method is used to analyze field data on the source zones of the August 19, 1992, MS = 7.3 Susamyr earthquake and the January 3, 1911, Mw = 7.9 Kemin earthquake, and estimate maximum ground shaking at the upper construction site of the Upper Naryn series of hydropower plants, Kyrgyz Republic. It is shown that the resulting estimates are consistent with data obtained through other techniques. Therefore, the new approach can be recommended to estimate earthquake effects.

作者简介

M. Rodkin

Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics

编辑信件的主要联系方式.
Email: rodkin@mitp.ru
俄罗斯联邦, ul. Profsoyuznaya 84/32, Moscow, 117997

A. Korzhenkov

Schmidt Institute of Physics of the Earth

Email: rodkin@mitp.ru
俄罗斯联邦, ul. Bolshaya Gruzinskaya 10-1, Moscow, 123242

S. Orumbaev

Central Asian Institute for Applied Geophysics

Email: rodkin@mitp.ru
吉尔吉斯斯坦, ul. Timura Frunze 73/2, Bishkek, 720027

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